I am currently writing a series on real life MF performances on my blog. The first post of the series was about my portfolio created through monthly SIP between April 2008 and March 2010. Around the same time another portfolio was started by my wife and this too ran for the same period. Of course, in her case there was one fund which continued for 3 years but that will not change the analysis much.
So here is the portfolio and the performance of individual MF schemes in it:-
- ABSL Frontline Equity fund has XIRR of 12.65 % and has been down nearly 4.75 % this year.
- HDFC Top 100 fund ( earlier HDFC Top 200 ) has XIRR of 12.07 % and has been down nearly 1.21 % this year.
- ICICI Prudential Value Discovery fund has XIRR of 18.63 % and has been down only 0.37 % this year.
- DSP Equity fund has XIRR of 11.04 % and has been down nearly 10.76 % this year.
- IDFC Multi Cap fund ( earlier IDFC Premier Equity ) has XIRR of 16.07 % and is down 8.78 % this year.
- UTI Dividend Yield fund has XIRR of 11.91 % and is up 1.61 % this year !!
- Sundaram Small Cap fund has XIRR of 11.08 % and is down 31.54 % this year.
- The overall XIRR of the portfolio is 14.35 %
Now, at first glance, this appears quite good and most MF investors will be happy to get such a result. However, when we buy into equity we need to look a little deeper to get a clear picture. So here then are some critical points to consider.
- Starting on a positive note, the portfolio XIRR was about 20 % just 2 months back !!
- Note that these purchases through SIP were between April 2008 and March 2010 ( March 2011 for one fund ), a great time to invest in MF.
- The data clearly shows our markets have performed well over 10 years – after all Sensex was below 10000 in 2009 and has been to 37000 this year.
- So even with the best buying price and the best market performance ( discount the last 2 months ) we are looking at a return of less than 18 % over 10 years.
- Consider also that these are some of the best funds of that time and fairly reputed now too.
- These are all regular funds so the expenses are higher as compared to Direct.
Summing up, it is good to invest in MF regularly and if you can do it at a time when the markets are in a downward trend then all the better. However, under most conditions you should temper down your expectations of XIRR to 12 %. If you get more than that it is a bonus but any plan with a return expectation which is greater does not make sense.
In my other posts on this series, I will provide more data and insights on this.